Guest Blogger
Georgy Gounev
Twenty years after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of communism, America.gov, as part of its feature “The Evolving Work of Democracy,” is asking academics and journalists from the United States and elsewhere to comment on the challenges to democracy that still lay ahead for countries of the former Eastern Bloc. What follows are their responses – and yours are welcomed as well.
What is the greatest challenge facing democracy in Bulgaria?
It is a firmly established fact that the political and social development of the new democracies of Eastern Europe has been strongly influenced by the specifics of the totalitarian regimes that ruled those countries for almost half a century. As far as Bulgaria was concerned, aside from the dominant Soviet factor, the local totalitarian regime happened to be a Balkan phenomenon which incorporated the worst traditions of the region, mixing cruelty with corruption and lack of dignity with an unprecedented servility while following the orders of a foreign power.
Beyond any doubt, during the period of Bulgarian Stalinism the country was subjected to a level of terror matching the record of the world’s most repressive societies. It was this regime which on November 10, 1989, became one of the immediate casualties of the destruction of the Berlin Wall.
The first period of the newest stretch of the Bulgarian history was marked by the emergence of two diametrically opposed trends. On one hand, a quick disintegration of the totalitarian model was achieved through the unexpected magnitude of pressure from anti-Communist opposition. As a result, the newspapers are free of censorship, the elections are relatively fair, and the growing young generation is accepting democracy as something not only natural, but also as something that has existed forever.
On the other hand, part of the old nomenclature retained its influence on Bulgaria’s economy by creating firms and companies that seemingly followed the rules and the requirements of capitalism, but were ultimately corrupt. Some experts believe the situation is improving, however: As legitimate businessmen and entrepreneurs learn to effectively invest and produce goods, the economy is being decriminalized.
The main challenge Bulgaria will face for a long period of time is determined by the demographic calamity plaguing the Bulgarian population. There are four countries which reached the point of no return in their falling demographics. In this respect Bulgaria shares the company of Germany, Russia and Lithuania. Can we expect the country to repeat the Irish scenario that transformed Ireland from the poorest country of the European Union into one of the richest? Can we count on the gradual evolution of the transformation of the country into a true democratic society given the increasing role of the intellectuals, managers and entrepreneurs who had grown in the post-totalitarian era?
Maybe such a scenario is plausible and possible. What is absolutely certain, however, is the gigantic effort the Bulgarian people will have to make in order for their country to become an integral part of a new, democratic Europe.
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